MARATHON · HALF · TRIATHLON NEXT

Know your real race pace.

PaceCast reads your Strava history and runs thousands of simulations of your race day — your fitness, every hill on the course, the weather you'll actually get. You get an honest finish-time range, splits that respect the elevation, and a gel-by-gel fueling plan.

Built on sport-science models, calibrated on real races: our 80% confidence bands covered 80% of them.

PACECAST Warsaw Marathon · 42.2 km · +224 m · 27 Sep
PREDICTION
3:16:32
80% confidence band: 3:00 – 3:35
Stretch3:07:49
Target3:16:32
Safe3:25:54
15.6° WBGT · forecast calibrated on 6 races
10 km45:09
Half1:36:04
30 km2:17:45
Finish3:16:32

A band, not a guess

Anyone can print one bold number. PaceCast tells you the odds — and as race day approaches and the real forecast replaces climatology, you can watch the band tighten around your target.

12 weeks outclimatology
80% band ± 19 min
3:16:32
2:553:103:253:40

Splits that respect every hill

The course is simulated segment by segment — grade, heat as the morning warms up, and your own late-race fade. The plan slows you on the climbs so the hills never decide your race for you.

Move along the course — planned pace adapts to every gradient

Weather is part of the plan

PaceCast learns how you slow down in the heat from your own hot-day runs, then applies the race-morning forecast, hour by hour.

3:16:32
5°C12°C at the start30°C

Drink plan: ~400 ml/h

Fueling, scheduled

Carbs per hour matched to your race duration and intensity, mapped to a gel-by-gel timeline — with a warning if the plan exceeds what your long runs say your gut has practised.

0:24
0:48
1:12
1:36
2:00
2:24
2:48

7 gels · 78 g carbs/hour · fluids scaled to the forecast

Product-agnostic: your gels, our timing. Not medical advice.

How it works

1

Connect Strava — one tap, no file homework.

2

Confirm your past races so we learn how you race, not just how you train.

3

Pick your race by name. We know the course and the weather.

4

Get the band, the splits, the fueling plan — on your phone, on paper, on your watch.

Marathons today. Triathlon next.

Nobody predicts a 70.3 honestly — swim, bike, run and both transitions are different animals. The same engine handles all five legs, from your own multisport history.

IRONMAN 70.3 · example day

COMING SOON
Swim 38:12
T1
Bike 2:48:30
T2
Run 1:52:40
Predicted total, with the same honest band 5:31:16 · ± 14 min

Racing this autumn?

The beta is free for runners who share feedback. Marathon and half-marathon first.